Misallocation

Our calls, scored

Before each auction closes we publish the range we expect it to sell in. Every call is kept and scored against the hammer, misses included. Nothing is removed for looking bad.

The record so far

Calls made since Oct. 15, 20265,642
Sold and scored3,150
Hammer inside our range83%
Median miss on the middle of the range26%

Each range is meant to hold 8 sales in 10. Scored on the hammer price, before the buyer's premium. 1,141 auctions ended without a sale and are not scored. By model: boosted trees 82% inside, median miss 20%, on 764 sales. Hedonic model 83% inside, median miss 27%, on 2,386 sales. Every call is Bring a Trailer so far. Other houses follow.

Open calls

Auctions still running, with the range we called. The call was made at the bid shown and does not change.

CarEndsOur rangeAt call
1956 Mercedes-Benz 300SL Gullwing for Charity$1,170,827 to $2,481,925Nov 10, 1:00 PM EST$1,170,827 to $2,481,925$750,198 bid at call
1956 Austin-Healey 100M BN2 Roadster for Charity$83,231 to $177,074Nov 10, 1:05 PM EST$83,231 to $177,074$4,000 bid at call
1996 Porsche 911 Turbo$258,990 to $508,639Nov 10, 1:10 PM EST$258,990 to $508,639$225,000 bid at call
2020 Ferrari 488 Pista$918,789 to $1,404,039Nov 10, 1:15 PM EST$918,789 to $1,404,039$888,888 bid at call
1991 Porsche 911 Turbo$208,821 to $444,179Nov 10, 1:20 PM EST$208,821 to $444,179$105,000 bid at call
2018 Porsche 911 GT2 RS Weissach$562,378 to $965,803Nov 10, 1:25 PM EST$562,378 to $965,803$530,000 bid at call
2022 Ford GT Alan Mann Heritage Edition$1,160,689 to $1,956,330Nov 10, 1:30 PM EST$1,160,689 to $1,956,330$1,100,000 bid at call
Dinan-Tuned 1974 BMW 2002 Turbo 5-Speed$77,636 to $165,086Nov 10, 1:35 PM EST$77,636 to $165,086$42,002 bid at call
2006 Ford GT$731,041 to $1,285,993Nov 10, 1:40 PM EST$731,041 to $1,285,993$700,000 bid at call
LS3-Powered 1986 Land Rover 110 by Arkonik$87,695 to $186,571Nov 10, 1:41 PM EST$87,695 to $186,571$20,500 bid at call
2006 Zodiac Hurricane 1110 36′ RIB$6,006 to $58,287Nov 10, 1:42 PM EST$6,006 to $58,287$500 bid at call
2016 Jaguar F-Type R Coupe$28,532 to $60,702Nov 10, 1:43 PM EST$28,532 to $60,702$10,000 bid at call
1986 Mercedes-Benz 560SL$19,258 to $40,972Nov 10, 1:44 PM EST$19,258 to $40,972$7,100 bid at call
1963 Chevrolet Corvair Monza Convertible 4-Speed$7,951 to $25,498Nov 10, 1:45 PM EST$7,951 to $25,498
2019 Porsche Cayenne$24,170 to $62,354Nov 10, 1:47 PM EST$24,170 to $62,354$19,000 bid at call
1995 BMW M3 Coupe 5-Speed$36,013 to $76,617Nov 10, 1:48 PM EST$36,013 to $76,617$6,543 bid at call
32-Years-Owned 1969 Mercedes-Benz 280SL$45,148 to $96,052Nov 10, 1:49 PM EST$45,148 to $96,052$15,000 bid at call
1991 Mercedes-Benz 300SL$6,604 to $14,049Nov 10, 1:50 PM EST$6,604 to $14,049$3,000 bid at call
1978 Chevrolet Corvette Pace Car Edition L82 4-Speed Project$10,265 to $21,839Nov 10, 1:52 PM EST$10,265 to $21,839$3,500 bid at call
2001 Honda S2000$31,778 to $60,514Nov 10, 1:53 PM EST$31,778 to $60,514$30,000 bid at call
25-Years-Owned 1963 Jaguar XKE Series I Roadster$46,721 to $126,308Nov 10, 1:54 PM EST$46,721 to $126,308$32,000 bid at call
Fuel-Injected, 302-Powered 1961 Ford Falcon Ranchero$11,577 to $31,579Nov 10, 1:55 PM EST$11,577 to $31,579$7,500 bid at call
2006 Cadillac XLR-V$25,361 to $53,957Nov 10, 1:56 PM EST$25,361 to $53,957$8,000 bid at call
Japanese-Market 1992 BMW 850i$10,321 to $33,098Nov 10, 1:57 PM EST$10,321 to $33,098
2014 Audi R8 Spyder$42,904 to $119,135Nov 10, 1:58 PM EST$42,904 to $119,135$1 bid at call
Evo-Look 1992 Lancia Delta HF Turbo$17,954 to $49,854Nov 10, 1:59 PM EST$17,954 to $49,854$4,567 bid at call
2005 Porsche Boxster S 6-Speed$21,257 to $45,225Nov 10, 2:00 PM EST$21,257 to $45,225$7,500 bid at call
2007 BMW M5 Touring 6-Speed Conversion$29,054 to $80,677Nov 10, 2:00 PM EST$29,054 to $80,677$1,000 bid at call
2004 Toyota Tacoma PreRunner SR5 Xtracab TRD V6$11,552 to $34,292Nov 10, 2:01 PM EST$11,552 to $34,292$5,100 bid at call
2001 Mercedes-Benz SL500$18,077 to $38,458Nov 10, 2:02 PM EST$18,077 to $38,458
1978 Lincoln Continental Town Car$28,729 to $61,203Nov 10, 2:03 PM EST$28,729 to $61,203$26,777 bid at call
541-Powered 1967 Chevrolet Corvette Convertible 6-Speed$58,958 to $143,348Nov 10, 2:04 PM EST$58,958 to $143,348$50,000 bid at call
1987 Mercedes-Benz 560SL$13,770 to $29,295Nov 10, 2:05 PM EST$13,770 to $29,295
351-Powered 1965 Ford Mustang Coupe 5-Speed$15,213 to $42,197Nov 10, 2:05 PM EST$15,213 to $42,197$6,975 bid at call
Single-Family-Owned, 18k-Mile 2001 Mercedes-Benz SL500$29,397 to $62,541Nov 10, 2:06 PM EST$29,397 to $62,541$10,500 bid at call
1998 Ferrari F355 Spider 6-Speed$125,276 to $258,481Nov 10, 2:06 PM EST$125,276 to $258,481$99,000 bid at call
427-Powered Race Car Replicas RCR40 Mk II$43,627 to $143,266Nov 10, 2:07 PM EST$43,627 to $143,266$40,001 bid at call
2018 Porsche 911 GT2 RS$396,346 to $843,227Nov 10, 2:12 PM EST$396,346 to $843,227$5,000 bid at call
2022 Acura NSX Type S$185,380 to $394,394Nov 10, 2:17 PM EST$185,380 to $394,394$75,000 bid at call
2026 Chevrolet Corvette ZR1X Coupe 3LZ ZTK$97,312 to $270,215Nov 10, 2:22 PM EST$97,312 to $270,215
1964 Porsche 356C Coupe$42,164 to $117,079Nov 10, 2:24 PM EST$42,164 to $117,079$3,356 bid at call
2012 Audi R8 Coupe 6-Speed$54,195 to $150,313Nov 10, 2:25 PM EST$54,195 to $150,313$25,000 bid at call
2020 McLaren 720S Spider$138,155 to $362,284Nov 10, 2:26 PM EST$138,155 to $362,284$105,000 bid at call
2006 BMW Z4 Roadster 3.0i$13,071 to $29,529Nov 10, 2:27 PM EST$13,071 to $29,529$12,000 bid at call
2006 Jaguar XK8 Convertible Victory Edition$15,665 to $27,550Nov 10, 2:28 PM EST$15,665 to $27,550$15,000 bid at call
2010 Toyota FJ Cruiser$16,023 to $44,492Nov 10, 2:29 PM EST$16,023 to $44,492$1,969 bid at call
2002 Chevrolet Camaro Convertible$8,638 to $23,985Nov 10, 2:30 PM EST$8,638 to $23,985$1,492 bid at call
1999 Porsche 911 Carrera Cabriolet 6-Speed$25,410 to $54,059Nov 10, 2:31 PM EST$25,410 to $54,059$8,932 bid at call
1976 Volvo 265 DL 4-Speed$8,076 to $63,512Nov 10, 2:32 PM EST$8,076 to $63,512$6,000 bid at call
Original-Owner, 33k-Mile 1992 Acura NSX 5-Speed$88,259 to $198,647Nov 10, 2:33 PM EST$88,259 to $198,647$78,888 bid at call
2021 Mercedes-AMG G63$78,944 to $167,953Nov 10, 2:34 PM EST$78,944 to $167,953$16,250 bid at call
LS-Powered 1958 Chevrolet Bel Air 2-Door Sport Coupe$25,966 to $72,101Nov 10, 2:35 PM EST$25,966 to $72,101
2006 Porsche 911 Carrera S Coupe 6-Speed$49,814 to $105,979Nov 10, 2:36 PM EST$49,814 to $105,979$4,000 bid at call
2005 Jeep Wrangler X 4.0$10,994 to $30,528Nov 10, 2:37 PM EST$10,994 to $30,528$1,941 bid at call
1989 Porsche 928 S4$15,465 to $32,770Nov 10, 2:38 PM EST$15,465 to $32,770$10,000 bid at call
2007 Mercedes-Benz SL600$19,184 to $40,813Nov 10, 2:39 PM EST$19,184 to $40,813$6,000 bid at call
1999 Mercedes-Benz G320$59,157 to $164,267Nov 10, 2:40 PM EST$59,157 to $164,267$10,000 bid at call
2026 Cadillac CT5-V Blackwing 6-Speed$125,608 to $191,075Nov 10, 2:41 PM EST$125,608 to $191,075$121,606 bid at call
396-Powered 1969 Chevrolet Chevelle Malibu Convertible$33,671 to $93,419Nov 10, 2:42 PM EST$33,671 to $93,419$15,000 bid at call
1967 Triumph Bonneville T120R$5,053 to $18,205Nov 10, 2:43 PM EST$5,053 to $18,205$3,000 bid at call

Latest results

CarEndedOur rangeResult
2017 Porsche 911 Turbo Cabriolet$77,617 to $165,130. Sold $82,000Nov 9, 5:14 PM EST$77,617 to $165,130$82,000 Inside
2022 Jeep Gladiator Overland$18,161 to $50,429. Bid to $23,000, not soldNov 9, 5:13 PM EST$18,161 to $50,429Bid to $23,000, not sold
Coyote-Powered 1975 Ford Bronco$97,907 to $208,107. Bid to $83,500, not soldNov 9, 5:12 PM EST$97,907 to $208,107Bid to $83,500, not sold
1967 Chevrolet C10 Custom Pickup$12,127 to $33,675. Sold $22,250Nov 9, 5:10 PM EST$12,127 to $33,675$22,250 Inside
Modified 1989 Toyota MR2 Supercharged 5-Speed$12,594 to $26,794. Sold $11,250Nov 9, 5:08 PM EST$12,594 to $26,794$11,250 Outside
Two-Decades-Owned 1960 Volvo PV544 4-Speed Project$1,569 to $8,764. Sold $3,700Nov 9, 5:08 PM EST$1,569 to $8,764$3,700 Inside
Euro 1980 Mercedes-Benz 230E 4-Speed$6,370 to $21,170. Sold $6,400Nov 9, 5:07 PM EST$6,370 to $21,170$6,400 Inside
2002 BMW M3 Convertible$13,675 to $29,094. Bid to $12,250, not soldNov 9, 5:04 PM EST$13,675 to $29,094Bid to $12,250, not sold
2008 BMW 328i Sedan$4,301 to $13,793. Sold $4,300Nov 9, 5:03 PM EST$4,301 to $13,793$4,300 Outside
2007 Porsche 911 Turbo Coupe 6-Speed$117,491 to $234,348. Bid to $167,000, not soldNov 9, 5:02 PM EST$117,491 to $234,348Bid to $167,000, not sold
2011 BMW 135i Convertible 6-Speed$6,260 to $20,075. Sold $8,181Nov 9, 5:01 PM EST$6,260 to $20,075$8,181 Inside
Original-Owner 2004 Toyota Land Cruiser UZJ100$32,674 to $79,315. Sold $44,000Nov 9, 5:00 PM EST$32,674 to $79,315$44,000 Inside
2013 Mercedes-Benz SL550$14,677 to $31,226. Bid to $15,250, not soldNov 9, 4:58 PM EST$14,677 to $31,226Bid to $15,250, not sold
1990 Chevrolet 454 SS$20,196 to $42,967. Sold $13,000Nov 9, 4:57 PM EST$20,196 to $42,967$13,000 Outside
1,915-Powered 1968 Volkswagen Beetle Convertible$9,500 to $26,378. Sold $12,501Nov 9, 4:56 PM EST$9,500 to $26,378$12,501 Inside
1991 Dodge Ramcharger LE 4×4$7,294 to $22,273. Sold $15,000Nov 9, 4:55 PM EST$7,294 to $22,273$15,000 Inside
2008 Mercedes-Benz S63 AMG$12,326 to $34,214. Bid to $18,650, not soldNov 9, 4:52 PM EST$12,326 to $34,214Bid to $18,650, not sold
2018 Airstream Interstate 24 Lounge Extended 4×4$22,612 to $219,466. Sold $64,500Nov 9, 4:49 PM EST$22,612 to $219,466$64,500 Inside
2013 BMW M3 Coupe Competition Package$29,341 to $70,967. Sold $42,500Nov 9, 4:48 PM EST$29,341 to $70,967$42,500 Inside
2012 Porsche Cayenne$14,226 to $39,504. Sold $16,000Nov 9, 4:47 PM EST$14,226 to $39,504$16,000 Inside
2006 Mercedes-Benz SL500$18,262 to $38,852. Sold $23,250Nov 9, 4:46 PM EST$18,262 to $38,852$23,250 Inside
Porsche-Powered 1964 APAL GT Coupe$61,206 to $494,331. Sold $65,500Nov 9, 4:45 PM EST$61,206 to $494,331$65,500 Inside
SEMA-Exhibited, Supercharged 2003 Ford Focus Wagon FT-230 5-Speed$13,241 to $49,035. Sold $12,250Nov 9, 4:44 PM EST$13,241 to $49,035$12,250 Outside
31-Years-Owned 1974 Alfa Romeo GTV 2000 Project$7,826 to $16,651. Sold $19,000Nov 9, 4:43 PM EST$7,826 to $16,651$19,000 Outside
BluePrint 347-Powered 1964 Mercury Comet Caliente$8,859 to $49,823. Bid to $10,250, not soldNov 9, 4:42 PM EST$8,859 to $49,823Bid to $10,250, not sold
1998 GMC Sierra K1500 SL 4×4$22,761 to $72,991. Sold $16,750Nov 9, 4:40 PM EST$22,761 to $72,991$16,750 Outside
1996 Ford Mustang SVT Cobra Mystic Coupe 5-Speed$12,494 to $26,582. Sold $16,254Nov 9, 4:39 PM EST$12,494 to $26,582$16,254 Inside
2017 Land Rover Range Rover HSE Td6 Diesel$14,753 to $40,965. Sold $22,000Nov 9, 4:38 PM EST$14,753 to $40,965$22,000 Inside
2022 Ford Mustang Shelby GT500 Heritage Edition Carbon Fiber Track Pack$90,168 to $186,613. Sold $124,000Nov 9, 4:37 PM EST$90,168 to $186,613$124,000 Inside
1974 DeTomaso Pantera L$68,936 to $146,661. Bid to $70,000, not soldNov 9, 4:36 PM EST$68,936 to $146,661Bid to $70,000, not sold
1953 Nash-Healey Roadster$12,713 to $75,807. Bid to $87,500, not soldNov 9, 4:35 PM EST$12,713 to $75,807Bid to $87,500, not sold
2019 Chevrolet Corvette ZR1 Convertible 3ZR 7-Speed$156,876 to $332,611. Sold $221,000Nov 9, 4:34 PM EST$156,876 to $332,611$221,000 Inside
Euro 1996 Ferrari 550 Maranello$128,051 to $272,428. Sold $125,000Nov 9, 4:33 PM EST$128,051 to $272,428$125,000 Outside
Modified 2011 Ferrari 458 Italia$161,551 to $342,847. Sold $348,000Nov 9, 4:32 PM EST$161,551 to $342,847$348,000 Outside
2016 Porsche 911 GT3 RS$149,170 to $312,489. Sold $241,000Nov 9, 4:31 PM EST$149,170 to $312,489$241,000 Inside
Original-Owner, 19k-Mile 2004 Porsche Boxster S 550 Anniversary Edition 6-Speed$22,643 to $48,173. Sold $37,750Nov 9, 4:30 PM EST$22,643 to $48,173$37,750 Inside
2018 Mercedes-Benz GLA250 4MATIC Ice Edition$10,963 to $47,274. Sold $19,500Nov 9, 4:29 PM EST$10,963 to $47,274$19,500 Inside
17k-Mile, LS3-Powered 2020 Jeep Wrangler Unlimited Sahara$27,553 to $76,508. Sold $30,500Nov 9, 4:27 PM EST$27,553 to $76,508$30,500 Inside
2017 Cadillac Escalade Premium Luxury Callaway SC560 4WD$26,795 to $99,154. Bid to $23,500, not soldNov 9, 4:26 PM EST$26,795 to $99,154Bid to $23,500, not sold
1968 Ford Torino GT Fastback S-Code 390$25,860 to $55,017. Bid to $23,583, not soldNov 9, 4:25 PM EST$25,860 to $55,017Bid to $23,583, not sold
1993 Suzuki RM250$1,079 to $10,468. Sold $1,100Nov 9, 4:24 PM EST$1,079 to $10,468$1,100 Inside
2016 Land Rover LR4$9,304 to $28,976. Sold $15,000Nov 9, 4:23 PM EST$9,304 to $28,976$15,000 Inside
1987 Mercedes-Benz 230GE Cabriolet 5-Speed$32,647 to $85,331. Bid to $41,000, not soldNov 9, 4:22 PM EST$32,647 to $85,331Bid to $41,000, not sold
1956 Ford Fairlane Victoria 3-Speed$17,939 to $49,813. Sold $18,250Nov 9, 4:21 PM EST$17,939 to $49,813$18,250 Inside
1961 Imperial Crown Convertible$27,733 to $155,996. Bid to $63,000, not soldNov 9, 4:20 PM EST$27,733 to $155,996Bid to $63,000, not sold
2007 Porsche Cayman 5-Speed$20,001 to $42,552. Bid to $26,000, not soldNov 9, 4:19 PM EST$20,001 to $42,552Bid to $26,000, not sold
1963 Chevrolet Corvette Split-Window Coupe 4-Speed$96,053 to $204,354. Sold $126,001Nov 9, 4:18 PM EST$96,053 to $204,354$126,001 Inside
2018 Mercedes-AMG G63$61,783 to $131,443. Sold $89,019Nov 9, 4:17 PM EST$61,783 to $131,443$89,019 Inside
2008 Mercedes-Benz GL550 4MATIC$6,690 to $24,816. Sold $13,251Nov 9, 4:16 PM EST$6,690 to $24,816$13,251 Inside
1981 Honda CT110$1,799 to $6,726. Sold $2,900Nov 9, 4:14 PM EST$1,799 to $6,726$2,900 Inside
2008 Lexus LS600h L$18,521 to $59,286. Sold $32,500Nov 9, 4:13 PM EST$18,521 to $59,286$32,500 Inside
Supercharged 2012 Chevrolet Corvette Grand Sport Coupe 3LT 6-Speed$28,197 to $59,989. Bid to $43,250, not soldNov 9, 4:12 PM EST$28,197 to $59,989Bid to $43,250, not sold
2015 BMW M3 6-Speed$30,209 to $64,269. Bid to $25,440, not soldNov 9, 4:11 PM EST$30,209 to $64,269Bid to $25,440, not sold
1984 Mercedes-Benz 380SL$4,726 to $10,054. Sold $5,000Nov 9, 4:10 PM EST$4,726 to $10,054$5,000 Inside
1956 Cadillac Series 62 Coupe DeVille$15,532 to $43,126. Sold $22,500Nov 9, 4:09 PM EST$15,532 to $43,126$22,500 Inside
1987 Audi Coupe GT 5-Speed$6,462 to $24,158. Sold $12,000Nov 9, 4:08 PM EST$6,462 to $24,158$12,000 Inside
2005 Mercedes-Benz S55 AMG$19,431 to $53,957. Sold $18,350Nov 9, 4:07 PM EST$19,431 to $53,957$18,350 Outside
2010 Porsche Panamera 4S$19,203 to $40,855. Sold $27,500Nov 9, 4:06 PM EST$19,203 to $40,855$27,500 Inside
2005 BMW 645Ci Convertible Sport$6,946 to $22,274. Sold $12,327Nov 9, 4:05 PM EST$6,946 to $22,274$12,327 Inside
Dual-Quad 1965 Chrysler 300L Hardtop 4-Speed$12,933 to $47,939. Bid to $25,250, not soldNov 9, 4:04 PM EST$12,933 to $47,939Bid to $25,250, not sold

Proof nothing was changed

Right after each day's calls are made, we take a SHA-256 fingerprint of a file listing them, figures as recorded. Download a file and run shasum -a 256 on it: the result must match the fingerprint printed here. Any call changed later would no longer match. The first seal covers every call made from Oct. 15 until the record was published.

SealSealedCallsFingerprint
No. 2Nov 10, 1:40 AM EST209d56852074a09143778d3d409eaeaaf9eb4df3b6cd6f2dd2a5c2ca244878f56e8
No. 1Nov 9, 10:58 PM EST5,43350509aa0aa0d316ba31ad99a510e718152a61f9304958b0f82526d7f1629252b